Prediction Disclaimer: Election odds, winning probabilities, projections and analytical estimates displayed by ZDN-Votes are statistical estimates based on available data and should not be interpreted as official election results or guarantees of electoral outcomes.
| Rank | #3 |
| Confidence | High |
| Model | Default Weighted Model |
| Version | v2 |
Factors
| Factor | Score | Weight | Contribution |
| Polling |
15.167 |
0.400 |
6.067 |
| Historical |
15.230 |
0.200 |
3.046 |
| Trend |
12.000 |
0.150 |
1.800 |
| Geographic |
0.000 |
0.150 |
0.000 |
| Popularity |
15.567 |
0.100 |
1.557 |